Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 5

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Jotun Arena (Sandefjord)

Referee: Grotta M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1


	Sandefjord		Rosenborg

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.75	3.2	Watch
	2.02	3.7	3.45	Watch
	2.11	3.75	3.53
	1.99	3.82	3.46	Watch
	2	3.6	3.25
	2.08	3.8	3.25	Watch
	2.03	3.65	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (2.02)	3.72 ↑ (3.7)	3.33 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandefjord
46.3%

Draw
25.4%

Rosenborg
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

25.6%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

25.3%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandefjord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Rosenborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandefjord than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Sandefjord - Rosenborg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.25) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Users Predictions: Sandefjord will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Hadaya E. (G) 4. Pedersen F. 2. Smajlovic Z. 44. Lambrix X. 3. Egeli V. 14. Pettersen E. 6. Mork S. (C) 7. Patoulidis E. 10. Alte R. 27. Dunsby J. 11. Moller N.	1. Wahlstedt L. (G) 15. Mortensen J. 2. Rosten H. 21. Nemcik T. 3. Dahl T. 7. Nordli S. 10. Selnaes O. (C) 8. Fossum I. 35. Ceide E. K. 17. Bomholt M. 18. Chiakha A.
Substitutes
17. Apetorgbor F. 19. Berntsen B. 8. Dzabic R. 1. Gronneberg A. (G) 5. Hojbjerg G. 47. Kristiansen S. 24. Mathisen S. 37. Vester J.	25. Bakke J. 4. Ceide M. K. 9. Islamovic D. 19. Pereira A. 14. Reitan-Sunde J. 12. Sandberg R. (G) 22. Svensson J. 6. Vaananen S. 5. Volden H.
Coaches
Tegstrom A.	Johansson A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Nordli S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Egeli V. 🟨,
58', Moller N. 🟨,
72', Mortensen J. ↓, Svensson J. ↑,
74', Pettersen E. 🟨,
78', Pettersen E. ↓, Berntsen B. ↑,
78', Alte R. ↓, Mathisen S. ↑,
78', Patoulidis E. ↓, Dzabic R. ↑,
83', Nordli S. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
83', Fossum I. ↓, Bakke J. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sandefjord won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Sandefjord has had a series of away games.

Sandefjord will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Rosenborg: Duris D. (Shoulder Injury) Sahsah N. (Hand Injury) Slordal E. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Sandefjord: Swift J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Rosenborg: Witry A. F. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Sandefjord won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 16:41. (average 0.8:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sandefjord won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.9:1.7).

Outrights of Norwegian Eliteserien for now

Rosenborg: 0.48%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Rosenborg	22	10	4	8	40:31	9	34
12	Sandefjord	22	6	6	10	22:28	-6	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sandefjord Fotball
Norwegian Eliteserien
12.04.26	Brann - Sandefjord	0:1 ✺
07.04.26	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Sandefjord	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Strømsgodset - Sandefjord	2:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
22.03.26	Sandefjord - Sarpsborg 08	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Vålerenga - Sandefjord	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWTLL
- Rosenborg BK
Norwegian Eliteserien
12.04.26	Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Tromsø - Rosenborg	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.03.26	Rosenborg - Stjørdals-Blink	4:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
22.03.26	Rosenborg - Vålerenga	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Molde - Rosenborg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
29.10.25	Rosenborg - Sandefjord	1:1
06.07.25	Sandefjord - Rosenborg	2:0
29.09.24	Sandefjord - Rosenborg	0:1
01.04.24	Rosenborg - Sandefjord	2:0
12.11.23	Sandefjord - Rosenborg	3:2
23.04.23	Rosenborg - Sandefjord	1:1
Club Friendly
19.02.23	Sandefjord - Rosenborg	0:1

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