Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 7

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Hardtwaldstadion (Sandhausen)

Referee: Hempel R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 5
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Germany	Magenta Sport
Montenegro	Sportklub 5
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 5
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
World	Onefootball app


	Sandhausen		Ingolstadt

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	2.88
	2.3	3.6	2.75
	2.3	3.6	2.8
	2.33	3.72	2.92
	2.39	3.6	2.71	Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.7
	2.25	3.58	2.79	Watch
	2.3	3.6	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.77)	3.59 ↑ (3.55)	2.79 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandhausen
40.7%

Draw
26%

Ingolstadt
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

26.4%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

26.6%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandhausen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sandhausen's performance.

Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ingolstadt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandhausen than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sandhausen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ingolstadt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sandhausen - Ingolstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sandhausen will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sandhausen: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Konigsmann T. (G) 6. Lorch J. 21. Schikora M. 14. Lewald J. (C) 36. Stolze S. 15. Muhling A. 11. Halimi B. 3. Ehlich C. 13. Iwe E. 17. Otto D. 28. Baumann D.	1. Funk M. (G) 22. Costly M. 32. Lorenz S. 16. Malone R. 18. Duhring M. N. 20. Deichmann Y. 34. Frode L. (C) 17. Besuschkow M. 10. Dittgen M. 37. Testroet P. 7. Borkowski D.
Substitutes
26. Carls J. 7. Fehler S. 8. Fuchs A. 2. Girdvainis E. 35. Gorka D. (G) 24. Greil P. 16. Kreuzer N. 9. Meier R. 27. Wolf L. M.	19. Cvjetinovic M. 30. Drakulic O. 11. Gronning S. 9. Heike T. 8. Kanuric B. 43. Keidel F. 29. Kopacz D. 41. Simoni S. (G) 38. Zeitler D.
Coaches
Ristic S.	Wittmann S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Halimi B. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Borkowski D. ⚽,
38', Stolze S. 🟨,
40', Deichmann Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
49', Muhling A. 🟨,
51', Lorch J. 🟨,
53', 1 - 2, Frode L. ⚽, Besuschkow M. (A),
56', Muhling A. ↓, Greil P. ↑,
56', Iwe E. ↓, Meier R. ↑,
57', Deichmann Y. ↓, Keidel F. ↑,
60', 2 - 2, Baumann D. ⚽, Meier R. (A),
65', Funk M. 🟨,
65', 3 - 2, Lorch J. ⚽, Meier R. (A),
72', Stolze S. ↓, Kreuzer N. ↑,
72', Lorch J. ↓, Girdvainis E. ↑,
74', Dittgen M. ↓, Kanuric B. ↑,
78', 4 - 2, Otto D. ⚽, Konigsmann T. (A),
81', Baumann D. ↓, Fehler S. ↑,
84', Borkowski D. ↓, Gronning S. ↑,
84', Testroet P. ↓, Zeitler D. ↑,
84', Frode L. ↓, Kopacz D. ↑,
90+1', Malone R. 🟨,
90+2', 4 - 3, Kanuric B. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sandhausen won 1.

Recent matches Sandhausen is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ingolstadt is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Sandhausen won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Sandhausen won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Sandhausen
German 3 Bundesliga
21.09.24	Wehen Wiesbaden - Sandhausen	1:3 ✺
13.09.24	Sandhausen - Borussia Dortmund II	3:1 ✺
31.08.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Sandhausen	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Sandhausen - Hannover II	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.24	Sandhausen - Köln	2:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWTLL
- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
21.09.24	Ingolstadt - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	VfB Stuttgart II - Ingolstadt	3:2 ✺
31.08.24	Ingolstadt - 1860 München	1:2 ✺
24.08.24	Saarbrücken - Ingolstadt	2:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
17.08.24	Ingolstadt - Kaiserslautern	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
18.05.24	Sandhausen - Ingolstadt	1:1
16.12.23	Ingolstadt - Sandhausen	4:0
German 2 Bundesliga
13.02.22	Ingolstadt - Sandhausen	0:0
27.08.21	Sandhausen - Ingolstadt	0:2
31.03.19	Ingolstadt - Sandhausen	1:2
19.10.18	Sandhausen - Ingolstadt	4:0
23.01.18	Ingolstadt - Sandhausen	0:0

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