Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 7

Date: 12 May 2023, Friday

Location: Øster Hus Arena (Sandnes)

Referee: Ekeli Valen O. (Nor)


	Sandnes Ulf		Kristiansund

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.8	1.91	Watch
	3.3	3.7	1.9
	3.4	3.85	1.92
	3.67	4.05	1.89
	3.5	3.5	1.85
	3.62	3.92	1.9	Watch
	3.4	3.7	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (2.88)	3.79 ↑ (3.25)	1.9 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandnes Ulf
26.4%

Draw
24.5%

Kristiansund
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

27.7%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

26.9%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandnes Ulf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Kristiansund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kristiansund's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandnes Ulf than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kristiansund than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kristiansund, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Sandnes Ulf - Kristiansund Predictions

Users Predictions: Kristiansund will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

Sandnes Ulf is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kristiansund is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kristiansund will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sandnes Ulf won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Sandnes Ulf won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sandnes Ulf
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
07.05.23	Moss - Sandnes Ulf	1:0 ✺
03.05.23	Sandnes Ulf - Kongsvinger	1:2 ✺
30.04.23	Fredrikstad - Sandnes Ulf	0:0 ✺
22.04.23	Sandnes Ulf - Raufoss	0:0 ✺
15.04.23	Sogndal - Sandnes Ulf	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLTTL
- Kristiansund BK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
06.05.23	Kristiansund - Bryne	3:1 ✺
03.05.23	Kristiansund - Sogndal	2:1 ✺
29.04.23	Mjøndalen - Kristiansund	1:3 ✺
22.04.23	Kristiansund - Kongsvinger	2:0 ✺
16.04.23	Start - Kristiansund	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
15.08.16	Kristiansund - Sandnes Ulf	2:3
25.06.16	Sandnes Ulf - Kristiansund	0:1
17.08.15	Kristiansund - Sandnes Ulf	3:1
30.04.15	Sandnes Ulf - Kristiansund	2:1

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