Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 6

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Øster Hus Arena (Sandnes)

Referee: Grundt J. W. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Sandnes Ulf		Stabæk

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	1.9
	3.2	3.75	1.93
	3.4	3.75	1.95	Watch
	3.5	3.95	2.01
	3.54	3.95	1.89	Watch
	3.3	3.5	1.85
	3.5	3.74	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↓ (3.94)	3.73 ↑ (3.66)	1.92 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandnes Ulf
27.1%

Draw
24.8%

Stabæk
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

24.8%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

24.4%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandnes Ulf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Stabæk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandnes Ulf than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Sandnes Ulf - Stabæk Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sandnes Ulf will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Stabæk will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sandnes Ulf (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Flolid T. (G) 26. Tricholidis A. 28. Haruna J. 5. Oregaard G. (C) 18. Bruseth A. 8. Saugestad S. 15. Nsoni Z. 17. Nyhagen A. 10. Kostadinov K. 9. Sundgot O. 11. Sundberg M.	22. Ulla M. (G) 2. Riise F. 15. Veum O. (C) 4. Naess N. 29. Ekorness K. 28. Tobiassen B. 7. Solnordal O. 23. Wendt W. 24. Hanstad J. 8. Dahlby M. 10. Olderheim S.
Substitutes
22. Arifagic D. 7. Bardarson O. 23. Berland E. 25. Debes E. 2. Egell-Johnsen K. 12. Hagen E. (G) 4. Kryger A.	20. Boesen O. 27. Hansen M. 16. Hoven A. 1. Lokkevik K. (G) 6. Matic A. 9. Sanyang A. 5. Skjelvik J.
Coaches
Cleveland A.	Kjell A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Nsoni Z. 🟨,
6', 0 - 1, Tobiassen B. ⚽, Riise F. (A),
44', Oregaard G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Kostadinov K. 🟨,
57', Tricholidis A. ↓, Kryger A. ↑,
59', Olderheim S. ↓, Sanyang A. ↑,
59', Tobiassen B. ↓, Matic A. ↑,
65', Riise F. 🟨,
69', Naess N. ↓, Skjelvik J. ↑,
71', Ekorness K. 🟨,
72', Haruna J. ↓, Berland E. ↑,
72', Sundberg M. ↓, Egell-Johnsen K. ↑,
82', Hanstad J. 🟨,
82', Kostadinov K. ↓, Arifagic D. ↑,
83', Riise F. ↓, Hoven A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sandnes Ulf won 1.

Sandnes Ulf has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stabæk is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Stabæk will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sandnes Ulf won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sandnes Ulf won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now

Stabaek: 0.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Stabaek	24	14	3	7	57:31	26	45
12	Sandnes	24	7	4	13	35:45	-10	25

Last Results with these Odds

Stabæk - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 52.13%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sandnes Ulf
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
01.05.26	Haugesund - Sandnes Ulf	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Sandnes Ulf - Strømsgodset	1:1 ✺
20.04.26	Lyn - Sandnes Ulf	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Sandnes Ulf - Odd	1:3 ✺
07.04.26	Hødd - Sandnes Ulf	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTWLL
- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
01.05.26	Lyn - Stabæk	0:4 ✺
26.04.26	Stabæk - Haugesund	3:2 ✺
19.04.26	Odd - Stabæk	2:2 ✺
12.04.26	Stabæk - Åsane	4:0 ✺
05.04.26	Strømsgodset - Stabæk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
19.08.24	Sandnes Ulf - Stabæk	1:3
31.07.24	Stabæk - Sandnes Ulf	3:0
22.10.22	Sandnes Ulf - Stabæk	2:2
25.04.22	Stabæk - Sandnes Ulf	0:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
31.08.14	Stabæk - Sandnes Ulf	1:1
30.04.14	Sandnes Ulf - Stabæk	2:1
12.08.12	Stabæk - Sandnes Ulf	N/A

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