Match Info

Superettan - Round 15

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Jernvallen (Sandviken)

Referee: Olofsson P. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 5, TV4 Play


	Sandviken		Västerås SK

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.4	2.4
	2.8	3.4	2.2
	2.72	3.45	2.4	Watch
	2.81	3.55	2.49
	2.97	3.43	2.29	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.25
	2.76	3.44	2.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (2.87)	3.42 ↓ (3.83)	2.35 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandviken
33.4%

Draw
27.1%

Västerås SK
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

24.4%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

24.9%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandviken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Västerås SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandviken than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Västerås SK than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	22.2%	55.6%

Sandviken - Västerås SK Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sandviken will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Västerås SK will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Västerås SK: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sandviken (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Sandviken (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sandviken (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sveijer H. (G) 45. Harletun K. 2. Thorn G. (C) 23. Engqvist E. 12. Redenstrand C. 14. Backman V. 8. Soderberg D. 15. Olsson F. 10. Simba M. 7. Arvidsson J. 11. Bohm K.	1. Fagerstrom A. (G) 2. Magnusson H. 18. Nsabiyumva F. (C) 21. Wernersson V. 11. Gefvert S. 10. Ring J. 8. Diagne M. 29. Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. 19. Magnusson J. 24. Johansson J. 17. Axel T.
Substitutes
20. Carlsson P. 99. Kack Ofordu K. 30. Lindell O. (G) 26. Tagesson L. 9. Thellsson C. W. I. 6. Vabo L. 4. Van der Laan V.	25. Bernardini A. (G) 5. Gunnarsson K. 42. Hartzell T. 6. Johansson S. 9. Ladefoged M. 15. Padovan A. 33. Vilar B.
Coaches
Abdulic E.	Karlsson K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Gefvert S. ⚽, Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. (A),
17', Magnusson J. ↓, Gunnarsson K. ↑,
34', Thorn G. 🟨,
38', 0 - 2, Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. ⚽, Ring J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Harletun K. ↓, Tagesson L. ↑,
57', Backman V. ↓, Kack Ofordu K. ↑,
75', Diagne M. ↓, Hartzell T. ↑,
75', Magnusson H. ↓, Ladefoged M. ↑,
75', Bohm K. ↓, Thellsson C. W. I. ↑,
75', Simba M. ↓, Carlsson P. ↑,
79', 0 - 3, Axel T. ⚽,
82', Thorn G. ↓, Vabo L. ↑,
88', Gefvert S. ↓, Padovan A. ↑,
88', Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. ↓, Vilar B. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 5).

Sandviken is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Västerås SK has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sandviken won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sandviken won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Sandviken - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.61%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sandvikens IF
Swedish Superettan
27.06.25	Brage - Sandviken	1:2 ✺
22.06.25	Sandviken - Falkenberg	4:1 ✺
13.06.25	Örebro - Sandviken	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Sandviken - Varbergs BoIS	2:1 ✺
27.05.25	Sandviken - Sundsvall	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWWL
- Västerås SK FK
Swedish Superettan
28.06.25	Västerås SK - Landskrona	1:0 ✺
22.06.25	Västerås SK - Brage	2:2 ✺
15.06.25	Varbergs BoIS - Västerås SK	1:0 ✺
31.05.25	Västerås SK - Umeå	2:2 ✺
26.05.25	Oddevold - Västerås SK	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
18.08.18	Västerås SK - Sandviken	1:1
27.05.18	Sandviken - Västerås SK	1:3
04.11.17	Sandviken - Västerås SK	3:1
21.05.17	Västerås SK - Sandviken	2:1

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