The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oita Trinita 10.3%
Draw 19.7%
Kawasaki Frontale 70%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
10.1%
18.3%
71.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
9%
16.3%
80.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oita Trinita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kawasaki Frontale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
23.5%
11.8%
64.7%
Oita Trinita - Kawasaki Frontale Predictions
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Oita Trinita will win (votes: 8 - 23.5%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 22 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 48.6% – 80.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League).
Oita Trinita has the most likely position - 19 (41.3%), has project points - 30, has currently - 16, has a very small chance of qualify for acl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Kawasaki has the most likely position - 1 (90.65%), has project points - 93, has currently - 58, has a very good chance of qualify for acl (>99%), has a good chance of win league (91%).
Recent matches Oita Trinita is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Kawasaki is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Kawasaki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Kawasaki is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Oita Trinita won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Oita Trinita won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-2.
Watch
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