Match Info

YBC Levain Cup - Second stage - Semi-finals

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima (Hiroshima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Yokohama FC

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	5	Watch
				Watch
	1.58	3.75	5.7	Watch
	1.65	3.85	5.76
	1.88	3.05	4.77	Watch
	1.6	3.78	5.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.63)	3.59 ↓ (3.69)	5.37 ↓ (5.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
56.4%

Draw
26.1%

Yokohama FC
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

25.6%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

24.5%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Yokohama FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama FC than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Yokohama FC Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Jeong Min-Ki (G) 33. Shiotani T. 4. Araki H. 19. Sasaki S. 15. Nakano S. 6. Kawabe H. 14. Tanaka S. 13. Arai N. 41. Maeda N. 51. Kato M. 98. Germain V.	32. Ishii R. (G) 22. Iwatake K. 2. Nduka B. 70. Hosoi K. 8. Yamane T. 34. Ogura H. 76. Yamada K. 48. Shimbo K. 10. Joao Paulo 90. Adailton 9. Sakuragawa S.
Substitutes
30. Arslan T. 25. Chajima Y. 9. Germain R. 32. Koshimichi S. 35. Nakajima Y. 39. Nakamura S. 18. Suga D. 21. Tanaka Y. (G) 3. Yamasaki T.	39. Endo T. 5. Fukumori A. 21. Ichikawa A. (G) 15. Ito S. 23. Kubota R. 91. Lukian 14. Nakano Y. 7. Suzuki M. 30. Yamazaki K.
Coaches
Skibbe M.	Miura F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Germain V. (Pen),
17', 1 - 1, Yamane T. ⚽, Joao Paulo (A),
28', Ogura H. 🟨,
32', Tanaka S. ↓, Arslan T. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Adailton ↓, Kubota R. ↑,
59', Maeda N. ↓, Germain R. ↑,
69', Joao Paulo 🟨,
71', Sakuragawa S. ↓, Suzuki M. ↑,
71', Joao Paulo ↓, Lukian ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Germain R. ⚽, Nakano S. (A),
77', Shimbo K. ↓, Fukumori A. ↑,
77', Yamane T. ↓, Endo T. ↑,
82', Kawabe H. ↓, Yamasaki T. ↑,
82', Kato M. ↓, Nakamura S. ↑,
87', Ogura H. ↓, Nakano Y. ↑,
90+1', Arai N. ↓, Suga D. ↑,
90+1', Nakano S. ↓, Chajima Y. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-0. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 3.

Hiroshima is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Yokohama FC has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Hiroshima is a strong favorite.

We predict that Hiroshima will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:5. (average 2.1:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Hiroshima won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 58.01%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J League Cup
08.10.25	Yokohama FC - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
04.10.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Machida Zelvia	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
30.09.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shanghai Port	1:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
27.09.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWTWT
- Yokohama FC
Japan J League Cup
08.10.25	Yokohama FC - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
04.10.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama FC	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Yokohama FC - Shonan Bellmare	1:0 ✺
23.09.25	Fagiano Okayama - Yokohama FC	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Yokohama FC - Albirex Niigata	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J League Cup
08.10.25	Yokohama FC - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:2
Japan J1 League
22.06.25	Yokohama FC - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:4
02.03.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Yokohama FC	1:0
16.07.23	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Yokohama FC	1:1
Japan J League Cup
24.05.23	Yokohama FC - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:0
Japan J1 League
15.04.23	Yokohama FC - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:3
Japan J League Cup
08.03.23	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Yokohama FC	3:1

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