Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 10 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima (Hiroshima)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Shanghai Shenhua

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.3	5.3	8	Watch
	1.27	5.92	9.14
	1.3	5.63	8.73	Watch
	1.25	5.5	9.5
	1.3	5.72	8.91	Watch
	1.27	5.75	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.34)	5.64 ↑ (5.13)	8.96 ↑ (7.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
73%

Draw
16.6%

Shanghai Shenhua
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

18.2%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.3%

17.6%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Shanghai Shenhua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shanghai Shenhua Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Hiroshima (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Hiroshima (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Osako K. (G) 33. Shiotani T. 4. Araki H. 19. Sasaki S. (C) 18. Suga D. 14. Tanaka S. 30. Arslan T. 13. Arai N. 39. Nakamura S. 6. Kawabe H. 9. Germain R.	30. Bao Yaxiong (G) 13. Manafa W. 4. Jiang Shenglong 5. Zhu Chenjie 27. Chan Shinichi 17. Gao Tianyi 6. Amadou I. 10. Teixeira J. 15. Wu Xi (C) 11. Saulo Mineiro 9. Andre Luis
Substitutes
25. Chajima Y. 98. Germain V. 38. Hill C. (G) 36. Inoue A. 51. Kato M. 37. Kim Ju-Sung 17. Kinoshita K. 45. Kobayashi S. 41. Maeda N. 10. Marcos Junior 50. Sota M. 21. Tanaka Y. (G)	19. Asue L. 8. Dai Wai-Tsun 32. Fulangxisi Aidi 3. Jin Shunkai 34. Liu Chengyu 33. Wang Haijian 2. Wang Shilong 14. Xie Pengfei 7. Xu Haoyang 43. Yang Haoyu 16. Yang Zexiang 41. Zhou Zhengkai (G)
Coaches
Skibbe M.	Slutski L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Chan Shinichi 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Amadou I. 🟨,
55', Arslan T. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
58', Germain R. 🟨,
62', Gao Tianyi ↓, Yang Haoyu ↑,
64', Suga D. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
68', Wu Xi 🟨,
71', Amadou I. ↓, Wang Haijian ↑,
76', Germain R. ↓, Germain V. ↑,
76', Saulo Mineiro ↓, Asue L. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Araki H. ⚽, Arai N. (A),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).

Hiroshima is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shanghai Shenhua's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hiroshima is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League
06.12.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shonan Bellmare	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
25.11.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
16.11.25	Vissel Kobe - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
08.11.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Urawa Red Diamonds	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWTLW
- Shanghai Shenhua
AFC Champions League
26.11.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Vissel Kobe	0:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
22.11.25	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shanghai Shenhua	1:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
05.11.25	Johor Darul Takzim - Shanghai Shenhua	3:1 ✺
Chinese Super League
31.10.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Shenzhen Peng City	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Dalian Young Boy	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLWT

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