Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Shanghai Stadium (Shanghai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	Sportdigital1+
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Russia	TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-korea	Coupang Play
Ukraine	Sport 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Shanghai Shenhua		Vissel Kobe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.92	3.4	2.25	Watch
	3.03	3.35	2.4
	3.63	3.83	1.87	Watch
	2.93	3.44	2.41	Watch
	3	3.2	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↓ (3.63)	3.44 ↓ (3.83)	2.26 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanghai Shenhua
30.6%

Draw
27.5%

Vissel Kobe
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

24.4%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

24.7%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanghai Shenhua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vissel Kobe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shanghai Shenhua that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vissel Kobe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	10%	50%

Shanghai Shenhua - Vissel Kobe Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Shanghai Shenhua will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 10 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vissel Kobe: 28.1% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Shanghai Shenhua (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Vissel Kobe (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Shanghai Shenhua (1.76) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Shanghai Shenhua (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.82) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

EH -1 - Shanghai Shenhua (6.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Shanghai Shenhua (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Vissel Kobe (votes: 4 - 30.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Bao Yaxiong (G) 13. Manafa W. 4. Jiang Shenglong 5. Zhu Chenjie 27. Chan Shinichi 10. Teixeira J. 15. Wu Xi (C) 17. Gao Tianyi 19. Asue L. 9. Andre Luis 11. Saulo Mineiro	71. Gonda S. (G) 2. Iino N. 4. Yamakawa T. (C) 15. Honda Y. 41. Nagato K. 7. Ideguchi Y. 25. Kuwasaki Y. 18. Ide H. 13. Sasaki D. 10. Osako Y. 14. Yuruki K.
Substitutes
6. Amadou I. 32. Fulangxisi Aidi 3. Jin Shunkai 34. Liu Chengyu 33. Wang Haijian 2. Wang Shilong 14. Xie Pengfei 7. Xu Haoyang 43. Yang Haoyu 16. Yang Zexiang 20. Yu Hanchao 41. Zhou Zhengkai (G)	16. Caetano 27. Erik 23. Hirose R. 31. Iwanami T. 26. Jean Patric 60. Kameda T. (G) 29. Komatsu R. 9. Miyashiro T. 6. Ogihara T. 35. Tominaga N. 32. Ubong R. (G) 30. Yamauchi K.
Coaches
Slutski L.	Yoshida T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', Honda Y. 🟨,
10', Kuwasaki Y. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Ideguchi Y. ⚽, Sasaki D. (A),
39', 0 - 2, Yamakawa T. ⚽, Iino N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Asue L. ↓, Amadou I. ↑,
47', Yamakawa T. 🟨,
54', Yuruki K. ↓, Miyashiro T. ↑,
56', Chan Shinichi 🟨,
63', Teixeira J. 🟨,
68', Gao Tianyi ↓, Yang Haoyu ↑,
77', Saulo Mineiro 🟨,
82', Andre Luis (Pen),
83', Iino N. ↓, Ogihara T. ↑,
83', Ide H. ↓, Erik ↑,
85', Saulo Mineiro ↓, Yu Hanchao ↑,
90+5', Osako Y. ↓, Komatsu R. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Shanghai Shenhua is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vissel Kobe's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vissel Kobe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vissel Kobe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shanghai Shenhua won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Including home match between the teams, Shanghai Shenhua won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanghai Shenhua
Chinese Super League
22.11.25	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shanghai Shenhua	1:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
05.11.25	Johor Darul Takzim - Shanghai Shenhua	3:1 ✺
Chinese Super League
31.10.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Shenzhen Peng City	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Dalian Young Boy	2:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
22.10.25	Shanghai Shenhua - FC Seoul	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWTW
- Vissel Kobe
Japan Emperors Cup
22.11.25	Machida Zelvia - Vissel Kobe	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Vissel Kobe - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
09.11.25	Gamba Osaka - Vissel Kobe	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
05.11.25	Vissel Kobe - Ulsan HD	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
26.10.25	Albirex Niigata - Vissel Kobe	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
18.02.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Vissel Kobe	4:2

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