Match Info

Date: 5 December 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Sangiuliano City Nova		Caravaggio

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	4.6
	1.5	3.85	5.1
	1.61	3.65	4.3
	1.63	3.58	4.28
	1.66	3.64	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.74)	3.7 ↑ (3.64)	4.61 ↑ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sangiuliano City Nova
56.3%

Draw
24.2%

Caravaggio
19.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.6%

25.2%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

20.1%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sangiuliano City Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Caravaggio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sangiuliano City Nova than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sangiuliano City Nova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caravaggio than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Sangiuliano City Nova - Caravaggio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

Sangiuliano City Nova is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Caravaggio is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Sangiuliano City Nova is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sangiuliano City Nova
Italian Serie D - Group B
28.11.21	Olginatese - Sangiuliano City Nova	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	Sangiuliano City Nova - Breno	3:1 ✺
14.11.21	Crema - Sangiuliano City Nova	2:2 ✺
07.11.21	Sangiuliano City Nova - Legnano	2:0 ✺
31.10.21	Castellanzese - Sangiuliano City Nova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWTWL
- USD Caravaggio
Italian Serie D - Group B
28.11.21	Caravaggio - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	0:0 ✺
21.11.21	Sona - Caravaggio	1:2 ✺
14.11.21	Caravaggio - Vis Nova Giussano	1:2 ✺
07.11.21	Folgore Caratese - Caravaggio	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.11.21	Caravaggio - Ponte San Pietro Isola	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWLLL

Sangiuliano City Nova - Caravaggio

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Sangiuliano City Nova - Caravaggio Predictions

Preview

Form

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