Match Info

Date: 21 November 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Sona		Caravaggio

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	3.2
	2	3.25	3.2
	1.97	3.4	3.05
	1.96	3.46	3.06
	2.02	3.6	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 (1.97)	3.44 ↑ (3.18)	3.13 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sona
45.4%

Draw
26%

Caravaggio
28.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.1%

27.3%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

20.4%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

The chances for Caravaggio have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sona than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caravaggio than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caravaggio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sona - Caravaggio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Sona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Caravaggio has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Caravaggio have a series of home games.

Sona will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sona won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sona Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
14.11.21	Real Calepina - Sona	3:3 ✺
07.11.21	Sona - Villa Valle	1:0 ✺
31.10.21	Leon - Sona	2:2 ✺
24.10.21	Sona - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:1 ✺
20.10.21	Franciacorta - Sona	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWTTT
- USD Caravaggio
Italian Serie D - Group B
14.11.21	Caravaggio - Vis Nova Giussano	1:2 ✺
07.11.21	Folgore Caratese - Caravaggio	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.11.21	Caravaggio - Ponte San Pietro Isola	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
31.10.21	Caravaggio - Arconatese	0:2 ✺
24.10.21	Caravaggio - Franciacorta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
24.02.21	Caravaggio - Sona	2:2

Sona - Caravaggio

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Sona - Caravaggio Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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