Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 12

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Euganeo (Padova)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 252


	Padova		Renate

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.33	8.25
	1.33	4.5	9.5
	1.34	4.38	9.58
	1.37	4.3	9.82	Watch
	1.29	4.4	10
	1.3	4.45	9.75	Watch
	1.33	4.5	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.34)	4.41 ↑ (4.38)	9.49 ↑ (9.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padova
69.4%

Draw
20.9%

Renate
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

21.1%

9.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.6%

19.8%

9.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Renate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renate than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Padova - Renate Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fortin M. (G) 4. Belli F. 2. Delli Carri F. 5. Perrotta M. 30. Favale G. 6. Crisetig L. (C) 15. Bianchi N. 17. Capelli A. 19. Valente N. 21. Liguori M. 20. Bortolussi M.	30. Nobile T. (G) 7. Anghileri M. 41. Spedalieri J. 5. Auriletto S. 21. Riviera C. 25. Vassallo F. 23. Siega N. 11. Delcarro A. 27. Di Nolfo F. 37. Plescia V. 9. Egharevba D.
Substitutes
29. Broh J. 22. Carniello M. (G) 13. Crescenzi L. 11. Cretella C. 72. Faedo C. 8. Fusi P. 23. Granata A. 26. Kirwan N. 37. Montrone A. 10. Russini S. 73. Targa A. 7. Varas K. 14. Villa L. 12. Voltan M. (G)	22. Bartoccioni A. (G) 24. Bocalon R. 17. Bonetti A. 72. Ciarmoli L. 77. De Leo L. 2. Eleuteri A. 8. Esposito G. 3. Gardoni P. 32. Ghezzi A. 44. Mazzaroppi S. 1. Ombra F. (G) 50. Pellizzari S. 91. Regonesi I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Delcarro A. 🟨,
41', Perrotta M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Di Nolfo F. ↓, Mazzaroppi S. ↑,
58', Liguori M. ↓, Russini S. ↑,
58', Perrotta M. ↓, Faedo C. ↑,
70', Bianchi N. ↓, Cretella C. ↑,
71', Favale G. ↓, Villa L. ↑,
71', Plescia V. ↓, Bocalon R. ↑,
75', Vassallo F. 🟨,
77', Vassallo F. ↓, Bonetti A. ↑,
77', Egharevba D. ↓, De Leo L. ↑,
77', Siega N. ↓, Ghezzi A. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Valente N. ⚽,
80', Valente N. ↓, Varas K. ↑,
86', Bortolussi M. 🟨,
90+1', Crisetig L. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Padova won 2.

Padova is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Renate is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Padova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Padova is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Padova to win the game is with odds 1.3.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Padova won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:11 (average 1.1:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Padova won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group A
27.10.24	AlbinoLeffe - Padova	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Padova - FeralpiSalò	0:0 ✺
12.10.24	Giana Erminio - Padova	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Padova - Vicenza Virtus	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Pro Patria - Padova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTWWT
- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
26.10.24	Renate - Caldiero Terme	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	Atalanta U23 - Renate	4:0 ✺
11.10.24	Renate - Novara	0:1 ✺
04.10.24	Lecco - Renate	0:2 ✺
28.09.24	Renate - AlbinoLeffe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
03.03.24	Renate - Padova	0:1
24.10.23	Padova - Renate	0:0
25.03.23	Renate - Padova	2:0
27.11.22	Padova - Renate	0:1
21.12.21	Padova - Renate	2:0
28.08.21	Renate - Padova	0:3
02.06.21	Padova - Renate	1:3

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