Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 30

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Euganeo (Padova)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251


	Padova		AlbinoLeffe

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.9	5.5
	1.52	3.85	6.2
	1.51	3.89	6.9
	1.53	3.78	6.73	Watch
	1.44	3.8	6
	1.5	3.7	6.18	Watch
	1.52	3.85	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.65)	3.82 ↑ (3.43)	6.24 ↑ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padova
61.2%

Draw
24%

AlbinoLeffe
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

26.5%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

27.2%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Padova's performance.

AlbinoLeffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AlbinoLeffe than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Padova - AlbinoLeffe Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fortin M. (G) 5. Perrotta M. 2. Delli Carri F. 72. Faedo C. 26. Kirwan N. 6. Crisetig L. 7. Varas K. 30. Favale G. 10. Russini S. 19. Valente N. 20. Bortolussi M.	22. Marietta C. (G) 6. Boloca G. 4. Potop S. 73. Bosia L. 16. Gusu M. 15. Astrologo A. 14. Fossati M. 18. Parlati S. 20. Ambrosini M. 7. Mustacchio M. 9. Longo S.
Substitutes
15. Bianchi N. 92. Buonaiuto C. 17. Capelli A. 11. Cretella C. 8. Fusi P. 23. Granata A. 21. Liguori M. 37. Montrone A. 31. Pirrello R. 16. Sala A. (G) 9. Spagnoli A. 14. Villa L. 12. Voltan M. (G)	19. Agostinelli M. 26. Angeloni M. 30. Baroni R. 60. Bonfanti R. (G) 1. Facchetti L. (G) 77. Freri G. 3. Giannini E. 27. Munari D. 21. Ricordi T. 46. Sorrentino L. 5. Zambelli F. 8. Zanini M. 10. Zoma M. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Bortolussi M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Boloca G. ↓, Munari D. ↑,
61', Bosia L. ↓, Giannini E. ↑,
62', Astrologo A. ↓, Zoma M. A. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Delli Carri F. ⚽,
64', Russini S. ↓, Spagnoli A. ↑,
65', Valente N. ↓, Capelli A. ↑,
71', 3 - 0, Spagnoli A. ⚽,
72', Longo S. ↓, Sorrentino L. ↑,
73', Bortolussi M. ↓, Buonaiuto C. ↑,
79', Crisetig L. ↓, Cretella C. ↑,
79', Perrotta M. ↓, Bianchi N. ↑,
80', Mustacchio M. ↓, Zanini M. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Padova won 3.

Recent matches Padova is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

AlbinoLeffe is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Padova is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Padova won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 27:13 (average 1.8:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Padova won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:7 (average 1.3:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group A
02.03.25	FeralpiSalò - Padova	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Padova - Giana Erminio	3:0 ✺
16.02.25	Vicenza Virtus - Padova	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Padova - Pro Patria	3:1 ✺
01.02.25	Virtus Verona - Padova	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWTWL
- UC AlbinoLeffe
Italian Serie C Group A
02.03.25	AlbinoLeffe - Novara	1:1 ✺
24.02.25	Atalanta U23 - AlbinoLeffe	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	AlbinoLeffe - FeralpiSalò	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	AlbinoLeffe - Renate	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Pro Patria - AlbinoLeffe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
27.10.24	AlbinoLeffe - Padova	0:2
15.03.24	Padova - AlbinoLeffe	0:0
11.11.23	AlbinoLeffe - Padova	0:1
19.03.23	AlbinoLeffe - Padova	2:3
19.11.22	Padova - AlbinoLeffe	2:2
13.03.22	AlbinoLeffe - Padova	1:2
31.10.21	Padova - AlbinoLeffe	2:0

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