Match Info

ITALY: COPPA ITALIA SERIE C - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 16 November 2022, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Euganeo (Padova)


	Padova		Gubbio

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.87	2.6	Watch
	2.55	2.9	2.55
	2.6	2.9	2.65
	2.53	2.83	2.62
	2.62	2.7	2.62
	2.66	2.89	2.65	Watch
	2.65	2.95	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.17)	2.86 ↓ (3)	2.63 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padova
34.6%

Draw
31.3%

Gubbio
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30.3%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

31.4%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Padova's form might have worsened.

Gubbio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gubbio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Padova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gubbio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	57.1%	28.6%

Padova - Gubbio Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Gubbio will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Padova won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Padova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Padova won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Padova won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group A
12.11.22	Pro Sesto - Padova	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	Padova - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.11.22	Padova - Imolese	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
31.10.22	Piacenza - Padova	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Padova - Novara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTWTL
- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
13.11.22	Gubbio - Recanatese	1:3 ✺
05.11.22	Cesena - Gubbio	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.11.22	Pescara - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
29.10.22	Olbia - Gubbio	1:3 ✺
23.10.22	Gubbio - Imolese	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
11.04.21	Padova - Gubbio	1:0
20.12.20	Gubbio - Padova	0:3
01.12.19	Gubbio - Padova	0:0
06.05.18	Padova - Gubbio	1:0
16.12.17	Gubbio - Padova	1:0
12.02.17	Padova - Gubbio	1:1
24.09.16	Gubbio - Padova	0:1

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