The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sansinena 48.7%
Draw 29.2%
Juventud Unida Universitario 22.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.9%
31.5%
32.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.1%
35.2%
29.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sansinena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sansinena's performance.
Juventud Unida Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventud Unida Universitario might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sansinena than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sansinena that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud Unida Universitario than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventud Unida Universitario could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Users Predictions:
42 users predict this event. Sansinena will win (votes: 39 - 92.9%). Juventud Unida will win (votes: 3 - 7.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sansinena: 85.1% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
Recent matches Sansinena is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Juventud Unida Universitario is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sansinena won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Sansinena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.