Match Info

Date: 9 January 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Sant Rafel		Mercadal

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Sant Rafel
53.3%

Draw
26.9%

Mercadal
19.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.3%

27.5%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

18.1%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Sant Rafel have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Mercadal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sant Rafel than the current prediction. (-18.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sant Rafel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mercadal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Sant Rafel has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mercadal is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mercadal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Mercadal have a series of home games.

In this match Sant Rafel is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Sant Rafel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
22.12.21	Sant Rafel - Platges de Calvià	0:0 ✺
12.12.21	Rotlet Molinar - Sant Rafel	2:1 ✺
08.12.21	Sant Rafel - PE Sant Jordi	0:1 ✺
05.12.21	Sóller - Sant Rafel	2:0 ✺
28.11.21	Sant Rafel - Poblense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL
- CE Mercadal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
06.01.22	Mercadal - Rotlet Molinar	2:2 ✺
02.01.22	Mercadal - PE Sant Jordi	0:1 ✺
26.12.21	Sóller - Mercadal	1:2 ✺
18.12.21	Mercadal - Poblense	1:3 ✺
15.12.21	Mercadal - Llosetense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLWLT

Sant Rafel - Mercadal