Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 18

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday


	Santa Amalia		Arroyo

	1	X	2
	1.88	3	3.9
	1.91	3.15	3.9
	1.91	3.22	3.93	Watch
	1.84	3.2	4.13
	1.91	3.15	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.59)	3.14 ↓ (3.75)	3.95 ↓ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Amalia
48.1%

Draw
28.9%

Arroyo
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

24.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

23.1%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Amalia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Amalia's form might have worsened.

Arroyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Amalia than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Amalia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arroyo than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arroyo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Santa Amalia - Arroyo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santa Amalia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
12.01.25	Santa Amalia - Llerenense	0:1 ✺
22.12.24	Olivenza - Santa Amalia	0:2 ✺
14.12.24	Santa Amalia - Jerez	1:0 ✺
08.12.24	Santa Amalia - Badajoz	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	Calamonte - Santa Amalia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 LWWTW
- Arroyo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
12.01.25	Calamonte - Arroyo	0:1 ✺
22.12.24	Arroyo - Montijo	1:2 ✺
14.12.24	Villafranca - Arroyo	4:0 ✺
07.12.24	Arroyo - Moralo	2:3 ✺
01.12.24	Diocesano - Arroyo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
07.09.24	Arroyo - Santa Amalia	1:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
25.03.18	Arroyo - Santa Amalia	2:0

Santa Amalia - Arroyo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide