Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 24

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday


	Santa Amalia		Castuera

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.4	4
	1.75	3.27	4.3
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.45)	3.34 ↓ (4.1)	4.15 ↓ (6.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 11%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Amalia
51.6%

Draw
26.8%

Castuera
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

22.2%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Amalia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Amalia's form might have worsened.

Castuera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castuera's recent form is better than expected.

Santa Amalia - Castuera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, ⚽,
45+2', 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
65', 🟥,
74', 3 - 0, ⚽,
78', 4 - 0, ⚽,
79', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Santa Amalia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Castuera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Santa Amalia is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Santa Amalia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Amalia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santa Amalia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
23.02.25	Trujillo - Santa Amalia	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Santa Amalia - Pueblonuevo	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Santa Amalia	2:2 ✺
02.02.25	Santa Amalia - CD Extremadura	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Santa Amalia - Arroyo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWTLW
- CD Castuera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
09.02.25	Castuera - Villafranca	1:2 ✺
02.02.25	Moralo - Castuera	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Azuaga - Castuera	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Castuera - Badajoz	0:2 ✺
01.12.24	Castuera - CD Extremadura	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
20.10.24	Castuera - Santa Amalia	1:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
10.12.17	Santa Amalia - Castuera	3:3

Santa Amalia - Castuera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide