Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 23

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	Trujillo		Santa Amalia

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.9	2.75
	2.31	2.91	3.03
	2.37	2.85	3.07
	2.55	2.9	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (3.1)	2.89 ↓ (3.2)	2.9 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trujillo
37.2%

Draw
31.5%

Santa Amalia
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

28.3%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

27.8%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trujillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trujillo's performance.

Santa Amalia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Amalia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trujillo than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trujillo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Amalia than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Amalia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Trujillo - Santa Amalia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, (Pen),
79', 1 - 1, Olmos M. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 7).

Trujillo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Santa Amalia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Santa Amalia have a series of home games.

Santa Amalia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Trujillo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Trujillo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Trujillo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
16.02.25	Calamonte - Trujillo	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Trujillo - Montijo	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Villafranca - Trujillo	3:1 ✺
26.01.25	Trujillo - Moralo	0:2 ✺
19.01.25	Diocesano - Trujillo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTLLL
- CD Santa Amalia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
16.02.25	Santa Amalia - Pueblonuevo	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Santa Amalia	2:2 ✺
02.02.25	Santa Amalia - CD Extremadura	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Santa Amalia - Arroyo	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Santa Amalia - Llerenense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
13.10.24	Santa Amalia - Trujillo	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
24.09.17	Trujillo - Santa Amalia	3:2

Trujillo - Santa Amalia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide