Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 25Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday
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Puebla de la Calzada |
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Santa Amalia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.2 |
3 |
3.05 |
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 |
2.25 |
3.08 |
3.16 |
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2.25 |
3.08 |
3.15 |
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2.25 |
2.88 |
3.1 |
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2.22 |
3 |
3.15 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.28) |
3.01 ↑
(2.97) |
3.12 ↑
(3.11) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Puebla de la Calzada
40.7% | Draw
30.2% | Santa Amalia
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puebla de la Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Santa Amalia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla de la Calzada than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Puebla de la Calzada that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Amalia than the current prediction. (+4.1%)Puebla de la Calzada - Santa Amalia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 13).Recent performances by Puebla have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).Santa Amalia has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Santa Amalia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Puebla will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).Including home match between the teams, Puebla won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Puebla | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 8 |
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| 9 | Santa Amalia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 | | | 25.10.25 | Santa Amalia - Puebla de la Calzada | 1:1 | | 09.02.25 | Puebla de la Calzada - Santa Amalia | 2:2 | | 29.09.24 | Santa Amalia - Puebla de la Calzada | 2:0 |
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