Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 17Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday
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Calamonte |
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Llerenense |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.35 |
3 |
2.08 |
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2.86 |
3.13 |
2.43 |
Watch |
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2.8 |
2.9 |
2.38 |
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3.4 |
3.05 |
2.09 |
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3.5 |
3 |
2.08 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.18 ↑ (2.9) |
3.02 ↓ (3.15) |
2.21 ↓ (2.3) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Calamonte 28.6% | Draw 30.2% | Llerenense 41.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Calamonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Llerenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calamonte than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (-3.4%)Calamonte - Llerenense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 22', 0 - 1, Espuny A. ⚽,
- 35', 0 - 2, Millan R. G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calamonte won 1.In recent matches, Calamonte has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Llerenense is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Calamonte won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Calamonte won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Llerenense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 10 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Calamonte - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.43%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 | | | 04.05.25 | Calamonte - Llerenense | 0:1 | | 21.12.24 | Llerenense - Calamonte | 1:0 | | 12.03.23 | Calamonte - Llerenense | 2:1 | | 06.11.22 | Llerenense - Calamonte | 3:0 | | 03.04.22 | Llerenense - Calamonte | 1:0 | | 28.11.21 | Calamonte - Llerenense | 2:1 | | 02.05.21 | Llerenense - Calamonte | 2:1 |
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