Match Info

Date: 9 March 2022, Wednesday


	Santa Ana		Barrio México

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.7
	2.38	2.9	2.7
	2.34	2.95	2.75
	2.41	3.12	2.92
	2.4	3	2.75
	2.4	3.25	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.46)	3.04 ↓ (3.06)	2.76 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Ana
37.7%

Draw
29.7%

Barrio México
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

29.6%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

21.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Ana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Barrio México has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Ana than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Ana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrio México than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barrio México could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santa Ana - Barrio México Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Santa Ana is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barrio México is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barrio México could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Santa Ana won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Santa Ana
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
05.03.22	Santa Ana - Puerto Golfito	0:0 ✺
27.02.22	Santa Ana - Uruguay de Coronado	3:0 ✺
23.02.22	Aserrí - Santa Ana	1:1 ✺
16.02.22	Uruguay de Coronado - Santa Ana	0:0 ✺
12.02.22	Turrialba - Santa Ana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWTTT
- AD Barrio México
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
06.03.22	Barrio México - Turrialba	2:0 ✺
26.02.22	Puerto Golfito - Barrio México	0:2 ✺
23.02.22	Cariari Pococí - Barrio México	2:2 ✺
20.02.22	Barrio México - Uruguay de Coronado	2:2 ✺
12.02.22	Barrio México - Desamparados	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
26.01.22	Barrio México - Santa Ana	0:0
29.09.21	Barrio México - Santa Ana	1:1

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