The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Uruguay de Coronado 27.9%
Draw 25.9%
Santa Ana 46.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.2%
28.1%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.3%
28.1%
34.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Uruguay de Coronado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Uruguay de Coronado's form might have worsened.
Santa Ana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Ana's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uruguay de Coronado than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Uruguay de Coronado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Ana than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Ana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Uruguay de Coronado - Santa Ana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
51', 0 - 2, ⚽,
53', 🟥,
57', 0 - 3, ⚽,
66', 0 - 4, ⚽,
88', 0 - 5, ⚽,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting the league leader (ranked 8th and 1st in the Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uruguay de Coronado won 1.
Uruguay de Coronado is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Santa Ana have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Santa Ana has had a run of games away from home.
Santa Ana is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Uruguay de Coronado has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:36 (averaging 1.2:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Uruguay de Coronado against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 10:17 goals (averaging 1.3:2.1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Uruguay de Coronado - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 37.19%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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