Match Info

Date: 27 February 2020, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Santa Cruz Recife		Bolívar

	1	X	2
	4.33	4	1.7	Watch
	3.5	3.9	1.75
	3.3	4.35	1.7
	3.73	3.94	1.65
	3.96	4.46	1.68
	4.06	4.06	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↓ (4.67)	4.12 ↑ (4.06)	1.7 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife
24%

Draw
22.2%

Bolívar
53.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.5%

22.4%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7%

15.7%

70.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Cruz Recife that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bolívar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	3.6%	39.3%

Santa Cruz Recife - Bolívar Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Santa Cruz will win (votes: 16 - 57.1%). Bolívar will win (votes: 11 - 39.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Cruz: 38.8% – 75.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
26.02.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Frei Paulistano	3:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
22.02.20	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Santa Cruz Recife	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
19.02.20	Afogados da Ingazeira - Santa Cruz Recife	0:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
16.02.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Oriente Petrolero	1:5 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
16.02.20	Central SC - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLT
- Bolívar La Paz
Bolivian Division Profesional
21.02.20	Bolívar - The Strongest	5:4 ✺
16.02.20	Blooming - Bolívar	2:1 ✺
12.02.20	Bolívar - Aurora	3:0 ✺
09.02.20	Guabirá - Bolívar	2:1 ✺
01.02.20	Bolívar - Nacional Potosí	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolívar La Paz
Bolivian Division Profesional
01.11.26	Guabirá - Bolívar	✺

Santa Cruz Recife - Bolívar

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Santa Cruz Recife - Bolívar Predictions

Form

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