Match Info

Date: 2 May 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Afogados da Ingazeira		Santa Cruz Recife

	1	X	2
	3.8	2.95	2
	3.95	2.95	1.94
	4.28	3.07	2.01
	3.9	3.4	1.8
	3.56	3.34	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (3.17)	3.14 ↓ (3.15)	1.94 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afogados da Ingazeira
23.6%

Draw
29.2%

Santa Cruz Recife
47.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.4%

28.5%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

22.3%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afogados da Ingazeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afogados da Ingazeira than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Cruz Recife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quartertofinals) and 4 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quartertofinals)).

Recent matches Afogados da Ingazeira is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Santa Cruz is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Santa Cruz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Santa Cruz is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Afogados da Ingazeira won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Afogados da Ingazeira won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afogados da Ingazeira FC
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
26.04.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Afogados da Ingazeira	2:2 ✺
18.04.21	Afogados da Ingazeira - Vera Cruz	2:1 ✺
14.04.21	Central SC - Afogados da Ingazeira	1:1 ✺
07.04.21	Afogados da Ingazeira - Sport Recife	0:0 ✺
28.03.21	Sete de Setembro - Afogados da Ingazeira	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWTTT
- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
28.04.21	Retrô Brasil - Santa Cruz Recife	2:3 ✺
25.04.21	Santa Cruz Recife - Sete de Setembro	0:2 ✺
21.04.21	Santa Cruz Recife - Salgueiro	0:0 ✺
18.04.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Santa Cruz Recife	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
13.04.21	Cianorte - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
19.02.20	Afogados da Ingazeira - Santa Cruz Recife	0:2
27.03.19	Santa Cruz Recife - Afogados da Ingazeira	1:2 penalties
29.01.19	Santa Cruz Recife - Afogados da Ingazeira	4:1
14.02.18	Afogados da Ingazeira - Santa Cruz Recife	0:1

Afogados da Ingazeira - Santa Cruz Recife

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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