The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Afogados da Ingazeira 23.6%
Draw 29.2%
Santa Cruz Recife 47.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.4%
28.5%
43.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.1%
22.1%
55.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Afogados da Ingazeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afogados da Ingazeira than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Cruz Recife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quartertofinals) and 4 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quartertofinals)).
Recent matches Afogados da Ingazeira is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Santa Cruz is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Santa Cruz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Santa Cruz is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Afogados da Ingazeira won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Afogados da Ingazeira won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.
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