Match Info

MALTA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 1

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Santa Lucia (Santa Lucia)


	Santa Lucia		Floriana

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.6	1.66	Watch
	4.73	3.69	1.68
	4.75	3.4	1.65
	4.65	3.72	1.66
	4.4	3.6	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.61 ↑ (3.06)	3.6 (3.6)	1.67 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Lucia
19.9%

Draw
25.4%

Floriana
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

25.3%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Lucia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Lucia's form might have worsened.

Floriana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Floriana's recent form is better than expected.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Celio (G) 3. Ellul M. 20. Gonzalo V. 22. Hulk 11. Lucas Sena 9. Pereira W. 17. Pisani J. (C) 7. Pisani S. 18. Tanti J. 10. Tatsuro N. 55. Xerri S.	33. Kitanov G. (G) 8. Arias U. 10. Busuttil J. 4. El Hasni O. (C) 20. Garcia M. 55. Kouros A. 21. Lonardelli C. 11. Nogureira M. 9. Reid K. 42. Valadzko M. 12. Vella D.
Substitutes
15. Bradshaw A. 21. Carbone J. 1. Cremona M. (G) 30. Gomes E. 4. Johnson M. 19. Mizzi S. 33. Patrick 6. Pulis N. 29. Valletta J. 16. Vella D. (G) 14. Xuereb D.	19. Accarino L. 23. Buttigieg C. J. 18. Cassar N. 5. Cassar Z. 24. De Grazia L. 14. Micallef E. 1. Mintoff S. (G) 22. Nwoko K. 2. Overend A. M. 26. Ruggier K. 7. Veselji M.
Coaches
Zinnari A.	Camoranesi M.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Lucia won 1.

Floriana is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Floriana is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Santa Lucia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Lucia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Lucia FC
Club Friendly
09.09.23	Santa Lucia - Marsaxlokk	0:1 ✺
01.09.23	Naxxar Lions - Santa Lucia	1:7 ✺
25.08.23	Mosta - Santa Lucia	0:1 ✺
18.08.23	Sirens - Santa Lucia	0:2 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
28.04.23	Santa Lucia - Zejtun Corinthians	2:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LWWWW
- Floriana FC
Club Friendly
07.09.23	Floriana - Gżira United	3:1 ✺
02.09.23	Hamrun Spartans - Floriana	1:0 ✺
12.08.23	Marsaxlokk - Floriana	0:3 ✺
04.08.23	Floriana - Paola Hibernians	2:0 ✺
02.08.23	Floriana - Tarxien Rainbows	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
02.04.23	Santa Lucia - Floriana	0:2
Maltese FA Trophy
15.01.23	Floriana - Santa Lucia	0:1
Maltese Premier League
05.11.22	Floriana - Santa Lucia	1:0
11.12.21	Santa Lucia - Floriana	1:3
14.08.21	Floriana - Santa Lucia	2:2
Maltese FA Trophy
10.02.21	Floriana - Santa Lucia	1:3
Maltese Premier League
05.02.21	Floriana - Santa Lucia	1:1

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