Match Info

Challenge League - Promotion Group - Round 4

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Balzan		Swieqi United

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	3.9
	1.8	3.43	3.86
	1.8	3.58	3.87	Watch
	1.8	3.3	3.75
	1.74	3.45	4.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.72)	3.45 ↓ (3.72)	3.92 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Balzan
50.8%

Draw
26.2%

Swieqi United
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

24.3%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

24.3%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Balzan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Swieqi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swieqi United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Balzan - Swieqi United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Davey I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 1 - 1, Arab S. ⚽,
85', 1 - 2, Barbara Z. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Balzan has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Swieqi United is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Balzan has had a series of away games.

In this match, Balzan is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Balzan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Including home match between the teams, Balzan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Swieqi	2	1	1	0	6:5	1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balzan FC
Maltese Challenge League
10.03.26	Fgura United - Balzan	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Balzan	1:3 ✺
22.02.26	Balzan - St. Andrews	1:4 ✺
15.02.26	Marsa - Balzan	1:4 ✺
08.02.26	Melita - Balzan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLWL
- Swieqi United
Maltese Challenge League
08.03.26	Swieqi United - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	Swieqi United - Sirens	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Swieqi United	1:3 ✺
15.02.26	Swieqi United - Fgura United	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Gudja United - Swieqi United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
02.11.25	Balzan - Swieqi United	4:0

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