Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 19

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday


	Santa Maria Cilento		Paternò

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	4.6
	1.62	3.51	4.76
	1.66	3.6	4.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.75)	3.54 ↑ (3.15)	4.73 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Maria Cilento
55.3%

Draw
25.6%

Paternò
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

27.5%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

25.2%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Maria Cilento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Maria Cilento's performance.

Paternò has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Maria Cilento than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paternò than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Santa Maria Cilento is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paternò is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Santa Maria Cilento could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Paternò have a series of home games.

In this match Santa Maria Cilento is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Maria Cilento won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Maria Cilento won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Maria Cilento
Italian Serie D - Group I
11.01.23	Santa Maria Cilento - Licata	3:1 ✺
08.01.23	Locri - Santa Maria Cilento	1:1 ✺
21.12.22	Mariglianese - Santa Maria Cilento	0:0 ✺
18.12.22	Santa Maria Cilento - Catania	2:1 ✺
11.12.22	Vibonese - Santa Maria Cilento	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WTTWL
- ASD Paternò 1908
Italian Serie D - Group I
08.01.23	Paternò - Real Agro Aversa	0:0 ✺
21.12.22	Paternò - Sancataldese	0:0 ✺
18.12.22	Acireale - Paternò	3:0 ✺
11.12.22	Paternò - Lamezia Terme	0:1 ✺
27.11.22	Paternò - Cittanovese	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
28.09.22	Paternò - Santa Maria Cilento	2:1
13.02.22	Paternò - Santa Maria Cilento	2:1
06.10.21	Santa Maria Cilento - Paternò	1:1
21.03.21	Santa Maria Cilento - Paternò	1:1
25.10.20	Paternò - Santa Maria Cilento	0:2

Santa Maria Cilento - Paternò: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide