Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 8 - ROUND 25

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Santa Marta Tormes		Ponferradina B

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.6	3.42	5.09
	1.6	3.42	5.1
	1.57	3.58	5.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.41)	3.51 ↓ (4)	5.19 ↓ (7.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Marta Tormes
56.9%

Draw
25.7%

Ponferradina B
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

22.8%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

21%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Marta Tormes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Marta Tormes's form might have worsened.

Ponferradina B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Marta Tormes than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Marta Tormes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina B than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ponferradina B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Ribeiro A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 🟥,
50', Anselmo Gonzalez M. (Pen),
90+3', ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Santa Marta Tormes is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ponferradina B is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Santa Marta Tormes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Santa Marta Tormes is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Santa Marta Tormes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Marta Tormes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Santa Marta Tormes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
09.03.24	Colegios Diocesanos - Santa Marta Tormes	0:2 ✺
03.03.24	Santa Marta Tormes - Atlético Astorga	0:2 ✺
25.02.24	Atlético Tordesillas - Santa Marta Tormes	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Santa Marta Tormes - Atlético Palencia	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Burgos Promesas - Santa Marta Tormes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLTTT
- Ponferradina B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
10.03.24	Ponferradina B - Palencia CA	1:2 ✺
06.03.24	Almazán - Ponferradina B	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Ponferradina B - Colegios Diocesanos	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Atlético Astorga - Ponferradina B	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Ponferradina B - Atlético Tordesillas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
28.10.23	Ponferradina B - Santa Marta Tormes	2:2
18.02.23	Santa Marta Tormes - Ponferradina B	0:4
16.10.22	Ponferradina B - Santa Marta Tormes	2:0

Santa Marta Tormes - Ponferradina B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide