Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 22

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday


	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan		Alianza San Miguel

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.6
	5	3.5	1.62
	5.38	3.5	1.57
	5.71	3.62	1.63	Watch
	5.87	3.58	1.54
	5	3.5	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.29 ↑ (4)	3.53 ↓ (3.8)	1.6 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Once Deportivo Ahuachapan
17.2%

Draw
25.8%

Alianza San Miguel
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

23.5%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

23.2%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Once Deportivo Ahuachapan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Once Deportivo Ahuachapan's form might have worsened.

Alianza San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Deportivo Ahuachapan than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (-2%)

Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Alianza San Miguel Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Salazar C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 0 - 2, Rodriguez A. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

Alianza is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Deportivo won 1.

Once Deportivo has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Alianza has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Alianza is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Once Deportivo won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 14:35. (average 0.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Once Deportivo won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Alianza San Miguel - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 54.15%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Once Deportivo Ahuachapan
El Salvador Primera Division
26.04.25	Águila - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	3:1 ✺
23.04.25	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Luis Ángel Firpo	1:3 ✺
17.04.25	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - CD FAS	2:2 ✺
13.04.25	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - CD Dragón	0:1 ✺
09.04.25	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLTLL
- Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Primera Division
26.04.25	Alianza San Miguel - Isidro Metapán	1:0 ✺
23.04.25	Fuerte San Francisco - Alianza San Miguel	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Alianza San Miguel - Águila	0:1 ✺
09.04.25	Luis Ángel Firpo - Alianza San Miguel	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Alianza San Miguel - CD FAS	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
08.03.25	Alianza San Miguel - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	3:0
20.10.24	Alianza San Miguel - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	3:0
18.08.24	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Alianza San Miguel	1:1
11.05.24	Alianza San Miguel - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	2:0
24.03.24	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Alianza San Miguel	3:1
14.01.24	Alianza San Miguel - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	0:1
04.11.23	Alianza San Miguel - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	0:0

Upcoming Matches