The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santacruzense 34.2%
Draw 27.5%
São Carlos 38.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40%
28.7%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.4%
29%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santacruzense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santacruzense's form might have worsened.
São Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Carlos's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santacruzense than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santacruzense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Carlos than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São Carlos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Santacruzense - São Carlos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 1 - 0, da Conceicao Honorato E. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Recently, Santacruzense has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Santacruzense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.