Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Fortin (Rawson)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Germinal		Guillermo Brown

	1	X	2
	2.30	2.70	3.10
	2.28	2.62	3.3	Watch
	2.28	2.76	3.42
	2.4	2.74	3.27	Watch
	2.25	2.6	3.35
	2.3	2.68	3.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.33)	2.68 ↓ (2.85)	3.31 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Germinal
39.2%

Draw
33.6%

Guillermo Brown
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

31.5%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

33.3%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Germinal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Germinal - Guillermo Brown Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Molini L. (G) 9. De Hoyos D. 11. Gonzalez A. 5. Lencina K. 3. Moreno A. 7. Moron G. 10. Navarro G. 8. Oliveri T. 6. Rios N. 2. Sveruk L. 4. Yocco L.	1. Ullua S. (G) 6. Alvarez A. 5. Chiavetto A. 3. Conde M. 7. Cucchi P. 11. Esmay V. 4. Kostelak A. 2. Paparelli R. 10. Rivero M. 8. Silva A. 9. Zapulla I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Moron G. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Moron G. ⚽,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Germinal has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Guillermo Brown is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Germinal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Germinal won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Germinal
Argentinian Torneo Federal
06.09.26	FADEP - Germinal	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Germinal - Deportivo Rincón	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Germinal - San Martín de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Sol de Mayo - Germinal	1:0 ✺
12.08.26	Germinal - Santamarina de Tandil	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TTTLW
- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Torneo Federal
06.09.26	Guillermo Brown - San Martín de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Sol de Mayo - Guillermo Brown	0:2 ✺
23.08.26	Guillermo Brown - Santamarina de Tandil	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Costa Brava - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
12.08.26	Guillermo Brown - Juventud Unida Universitario	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.07.26	Guillermo Brown - Germinal	2:0
17.05.26	Germinal - Guillermo Brown	1:1
27.07.25	Germinal - Guillermo Brown	1:0
18.05.25	Guillermo Brown - Germinal	1:2
16.03.25	Germinal - Guillermo Brown	1:2

Germinal - Guillermo Brown: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide