Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 3

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin (Tandil)


	Santamarina de Tandil		Gutiérrez de Mendoza

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.5	6.4
	1.47	3.63	6.6
	1.63	3.23	6.49	Watch
	1.49	3.42	7.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.44)	3.45 ↓ (3.54)	6.73 ↓ (7.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santamarina de Tandil
60%

Draw
26.4%

Gutiérrez de Mendoza
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

25.2%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

17.2%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santamarina de Tandil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Gutiérrez de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santamarina de Tandil that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gutiérrez de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gutiérrez de Mendoza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santamarina de Tandil - Gutiérrez de Mendoza Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Santamarina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Santamarina (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Santamarina (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Santamarina (votes: 3 - 100%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moris U. (G) 8. Arregui L. 10. Comachi L. 9. Comachi M. 7. Dezi L. 5. Igartua N. 3. Martinez M. 4. Palmieri M. 2. Romat N. 6. Romero A. 11. Valenzuela P.	1. Martin J. (G) 10. Arce N. 9. Bernal R. 11. Estigarribia C. 4. Gutierre G. 7. Luques J. 6. Mesa F. 3. Pena P. 8. Perez N. 5. Salinas I. 2. Viscarra A.
Substitutes
20. D'Angelo T. 12. Del Riego F. (G) 17. Hernandez Castro T. J. 15. Labaroni M. 14. Lucero A. 19. Navarro G. 16. Perez F. 18. Urruchua G. 13. Veron M.	12. Clavijo T. (G) 18. Flores E. (G) 13. Funes L. 15. Garcia G. 19. Miranda E. 14. Mora F. 16. Olivares G. 17. Tinguti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Comachi L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Comachi L. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
68', Perez N. ↓, Miranda E. ↑,
68', Salinas I. ↓, Garcia G. ↑,
79', Comachi M. ↓, Urruchua G. ↑,
79', Valenzuela P. ↓, D'Angelo T. ↑,
79', Gutierre G. ↓, Funes L. ↑,
79', Estigarribia C. ↓, Tinguti A. ↑,
81', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 0, D'Angelo T. ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Santamarina is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gutiérrez has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Santamarina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Santamarina is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Santamarina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Including home match between the teams, Santamarina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santamarina de Tandil
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.07.25	Círculo Deportivo - Santamarina de Tandil	1:0 ✺
20.07.25	Santamarina de Tandil - Juventud Unida Universitario	0:0 ✺
13.07.25	Santamarina de Tandil - Guillermo Brown	2:2 ✺
06.07.25	Sol de Mayo - Santamarina de Tandil	0:0 ✺
29.06.25	Santamarina de Tandil - Cipolletti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTTTL
- Gutiérrez SC de Mendoza
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.07.25	Huracán Las Heras - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
13.07.25	Costa Brava - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	3:0 ✺
06.07.25	Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Atenas Río Cuarto	1:2 ✺
28.06.25	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	3:1 ✺
22.06.25	Gutiérrez de Mendoza - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
01.09.24	Santamarina de Tandil - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	4:0

Santamarina de Tandil - Gutiérrez de Mendoza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide