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Current Win Probability
Círculo Deportivo 47%
Draw 30%
Santamarina de Tandil 23%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44%
31.3%
24.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.4%
28.7%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Círculo Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Santamarina de Tandil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Círculo Deportivo than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Círculo Deportivo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Círculo Deportivo - Santamarina de Tandil Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez P. (G) 8. Banchio R. 7. Cos B. 5. Gomez L. 11. Grahl F. 9. Iriberri I. 3. Leguizamon M. 2. Martinez J. 10. Opazo D. 6. Rojas F. 4. Vilchez J.
1. Moris U. (G) 8. Di Carlo R. 4. Dominguez L. 7. Gomez J. 5. Igartua N. 6. Lucero I. 10. Meza F. 3. Perez F. 2. Romat N. 9. Romero T. 11. San Martin B.
Substitutes
15. Aguilar M. 18. Castelli B. 13. Lerena S. (G) 17. Lopez F. 14. Lucero J. 19. Marin Q. 12. Rius C. 16. Torres C.
16. Alvarenga L. 19. Canchi M. 18. Chavez T. 20. Ijurco M. 15. Istillarte J. 17. Labaroni M. 14. Quinteros V. 13. Sposato T. 12. Turnes I. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
29', 🟨,
35', 🟨,
39', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Círculo Deportivo won 1.
Círculo Deportivo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Santamarina's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Círculo Deportivo could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Círculo Deportivo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:21. (average 0.7:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Círculo Deportivo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).