Match Info

Date: 29 May 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Barraza J. (Arg)


	Ferro Carril Oeste		Santamarina de Tandil

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.75	6.5
	1.6	3.5	5.5
	1.57	3.5	5.75
	1.6	3.5	5.2
	1.67	3.5	6.06
	1.62	3.3	5.5
	1.58	3.5	6.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.63)	3.51 ↓ (3.59)	5.81 ↓ (5.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferro Carril Oeste
57.6%

Draw
26.4%

Santamarina de Tandil
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

26.2%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

25.4%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Santamarina de Tandil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	18.7%	25%

Ferro Carril Oeste - Santamarina de Tandil Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Ferro Carril will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Santamarina will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferro Carril: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 27 and 37 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ferro Carril won 3.

Recent matches Ferro Carril is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santamarina is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ferro Carril could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ferro Carril is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Ferro Carril won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferro Carril won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.05.22	Atlético de Rafaela - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:1 ✺
16.05.22	Ferro Carril Oeste - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
08.05.22	Chacarita Juniors - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:1 ✺
03.05.22	Ferro Carril Oeste - Brown de Adrogué	0:1 ✺
25.04.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTLT
- Santamarina de Tandil
Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.05.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Independiente Rivadavia	0:3 ✺
14.05.22	Quilmes - Santamarina de Tandil	2:0 ✺
09.05.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Deportivo Maipú	0:0 ✺
02.05.22	Nueva Chicago - Santamarina de Tandil	4:0 ✺
23.04.22	Santamarina de Tandil - Club Almagro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.11.21	Ferro Carril Oeste - Santamarina de Tandil	2:0
11.07.21	Santamarina de Tandil - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:2
08.02.19	Santamarina de Tandil - Ferro Carril Oeste	3:1
23.04.18	Santamarina de Tandil - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:1
15.04.17	Ferro Carril Oeste - Santamarina de Tandil	1:0
17.09.16	Santamarina de Tandil - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:1
29.02.16	Santamarina de Tandil - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:0

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