Match Info

Date: 12 September 2021, Sunday


	Santiago Wanderers		Cobresal

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.4	2.2	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.25
	2.95	3.3	2.12	Watch
	2.95	3.3	2.29
	3.14	3.43	2.36
	3.1	3.25	2.2	Watch
	3.06	3.48	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (3.54)	3.37 ↑ (3.36)	2.25 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santiago Wanderers
31%

Draw
27.6%

Cobresal
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

27.6%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

21.7%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Cobresal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santiago Wanderers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (+17.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cobresal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santiago Wanderers - Cobresal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Santiago Wanderers is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cobresal is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Santiago Wanderers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cobresal will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Santiago Wanderers won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 29-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Santiago Wanderers won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 22-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago Wanderers
Chilean Primera Division
08.09.21	Unión La Calera - Santiago Wanderers	0:1 ✺
26.08.21	Santiago Wanderers - Unión Española	1:2 ✺
21.08.21	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes La Serena	2:2 ✺
13.08.21	Audax Italiano - Santiago Wanderers	1:0 ✺
08.08.21	Santiago Wanderers - Huachipato	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLTLL
- CD Cobresal
Chilean Primera Division
06.09.21	Cobresal - Ñublense	4:1 ✺
29.08.21	Colo-Colo - Cobresal	0:1 ✺
22.08.21	Cobresal - Unión Española	2:0 ✺
15.08.21	Universidad de Chile - Cobresal	0:2 ✺
09.08.21	Cobresal - Palestino	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
18.04.21	Cobresal - Santiago Wanderers	2:1
11.01.21	Santiago Wanderers - Cobresal	1:0
29.10.20	Cobresal - Santiago Wanderers	1:0
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
18.11.18	Cobresal - Santiago Wanderers	4:1
14.11.18	Santiago Wanderers - Cobresal	2:0
30.09.18	Santiago Wanderers - Cobresal	1:0
27.05.18	Cobresal - Santiago Wanderers	1:0

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