The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Audax Italiano 64.8%
Draw 22.8%
Santiago Wanderers 12.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.8%
23.1%
16.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
74.2%
18.9%
13.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Audax Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
Santiago Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Audax Italiano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
56.7%
30%
13.3%
Audax Italiano - Santiago Wanderers Predictions
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Audax Italiano will win (votes: 17 - 56.7%). Santiago Wanderers will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Audax Italiano: 39% – 74.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera B).
Recent matches Audax Italiano is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Santiago Wanderers has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Audax Italiano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Audax Italiano is a favorite.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Audax Italiano won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 26-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Audax Italiano won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-4.
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