The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Antofagasta 52.3%
Draw 25.1%
Santiago Wanderers 22.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.3%
28.9%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.2%
28.3%
26.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Antofagasta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Antofagasta's performance.
Santiago Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Antofagasta than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Antofagasta that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Deportes Antofagasta - Santiago Wanderers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Hurtado Perez F. (C) 13. Abuhadba Z. 20. Cuadra A. 6. Diaz C. 17. Hurtado B. 8. Leyton S. 21. Manzano F. 9. Monreal J. 31. Ramirez S. 10. Rojas D. 22. Suarez M.
36. Martinez B. (G) 24. Dubo A. 18. Felipe S. 23. Flores I. 7. Herrera A. 16. Navarro P. 14. Ponce C. 8. Silva J. 31. Valenzuela C. 32. Vargas V. 15. Villarroel M.
Substitutes
11. Bandez J. D. 14. Campillay K. 25. Cisternas J. P. (G) 16. Gallegos Panozzo M. 15. Ibacache A. 18. Sepulveda N. 4. Tapia B.
20. Avendano L. 22. Javier Parraguez 10. Luna J. 38. Portilla D. 29. Silva C. 25. Terrazas F. (G) 19. Villarroel C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Leyton S. 🟨,
15', Ponce C. 🟨,
37', Monreal J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Flores I. ↓, Avendano L. ↑,
67', Dubo A. ↓, Villarroel C. ↑,
71', Rojas D. ↓, Gallegos Panozzo M. ↑,
75', Silva J. ↓, Luna J. ↑,
77', Leyton S. ↓, Sepulveda N. ↑,
77', Ramirez S. ↓, Tapia B. ↑,
77', Monreal J. ↓, Campillay K. ↑,
82', Vargas V. ↓, Javier Parraguez ↑,
82', Ponce C. ↓, Silva C. ↑,
87', Herrera A. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antofagasta won 1.
Antofagasta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Santiago Wanderers has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Antofagasta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Santiago Wanderers has had a series of home games.
In this match, Antofagasta is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Antofagasta won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Antofagasta won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
S. Wanderers
26
12
8
6
41:28
13
44
5
Antofagasta
26
11
8
7
44:26
18
41
Last Results with these Odds
Deportes Antofagasta - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 44.3%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.