Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 10

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander (Valparaíso)


	Santiago Wanderers		Deportes Temuco

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.35	3.35
	2.04	3.36	3.39
	2.06	3.37	3.47	Watch
	2	3.1	3.3
	1.98	3.34	3.39	Watch
	1.91	3.15	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.91)	3.28 ↑ (3.15)	3.33 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santiago Wanderers
45.2%

Draw
27.6%

Deportes Temuco
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

27.3%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

24.8%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Deportes Temuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Temuco than the current prediction. (-2%)

Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Temuco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Martinez B. (G) 7. Herrera A. 16. Navarro P. 18. Felipe S. 31. Valenzuela C. 5. Navarro L. 8. Silva J. 19. Villarroel C. 9. Camarda M. 14. Ponce C. 23. Flores I.	13. Urra Y. (G) 5. Lettieri E. 17. Ortega F. 20. Lavin V. 23. Gonzalez R. 6. Contreras P. 8. Troncoso B. 18. Buonanotte D. 27. Nunez C. 12. Rocha C. 16. Rivera Faundez N. A.
Substitutes
20. Avendano L. 24. Dubo A. 12. Olivares R. (G) 38. Portilla D. 37. San Martin D. 32. Vargas V. 15. Villarroel M.	30. Astete N. 14. Cuadra M. 29. Huanca C. 36. Martinez J. (G) 10. Molina S. 3. Sanhueza M. 7. Torrealba M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Valenzuela C. ⚽,
15', Lettieri E. 🟨,
17', 1 - 1, Rivera Faundez N. A. ⚽,
33', 2 - 1, Navarro L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Troncoso B. ↓, Cuadra M. ↑,
60', Gonzalez R. ↓, Torrealba M. ↑,
65', Villarroel C. ↓, Vargas V. ↑,
65', Silva J. ↓, Avendano L. ↑,
72', Rivera Faundez N. A. ↓, Huanca C. ↑,
73', Flores I. ↓, Dubo A. ↑,
73', Herrera A. ↓, Villarroel M. ↑,
75', Huanca C. 🟨,
82', Ponce C. ↓, Portilla D. ↑,
82', Contreras P. ↓, Molina S. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Ortega F. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 4.

Santiago Wanderers is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Deportes Temuco has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Deportes Temuco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Santiago Wanderers might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Santiago Wanderers won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 1.5:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	S. Wanderers	26	12	8	6	41:28	13	44
11	Deportes Temuco	26	8	8	10	40:36	4	32

Last Results with these Odds

Deportes Temuco - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 27.72%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago Wanderers
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
27.04.26	Deportes Iquique - Santiago Wanderers	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Deportes Magallanes - Santiago Wanderers	2:3 ✺
12.04.26	Santiago Wanderers - San Luis de Quillota	3:1 ✺
28.03.26	Deportes Puerto Montt - Santiago Wanderers	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Antofagasta	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 LWWWT
- Deportes Temuco
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
25.04.26	Deportes Temuco - Rangers de Talca	2:1 ✺
20.04.26	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Temuco	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Antofagasta	3:3 ✺
22.03.26	Deportes Temuco - San Luis de Quillota	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Temuco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
15.08.25	Deportes Temuco - Santiago Wanderers	0:2
13.04.25	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Temuco	2:1
04.08.24	Deportes Temuco - Santiago Wanderers	2:0
24.03.24	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Temuco	2:1
26.11.23	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Temuco	1:0
19.11.23	Deportes Temuco - Santiago Wanderers	2:3
09.10.23	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Temuco	1:0

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