The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Recoleta 42.1%
Draw 27.2%
Santiago Wanderers 30.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.1%
26.8%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.8%
27.3%
33.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Santiago Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Deportes Recoleta - Santiago Wanderers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Salazar A. (G) 11. Viveros D. 4. Tomarelli F. 16. Viveros B. 14. Lara I. 6. Espinoza J. 7. Provoste B. 21. Alvarez G. 20. Gonzalez C. 19. Sanchez P. 9. Estigarribia G. (C)
36. Martinez B. (G) 7. Herrera A. 31. Valenzuela C. 18. Felipe S. 16. Navarro P. 8. Silva J. 24. Dubo A. 5. Navarro L. 14. Ponce C. 23. Flores I. 9. Camarda M.
Substitutes
10. Arguinarena M. 3. Arismendy N. 17. Carvajal N. 18. Cepeda C. 27. Flores F. 33. Riveros R. 22. Vargas J. (G)
13. Adasme B. 35. Avello F. (G) 20. Bahamondez T. 22. Javier Parraguez 37. San Martin D. 29. Silva C. 32. Vargas V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Gonzalez C. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Estigarribia G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dubo A. ↓, San Martin D. ↑,
46', Navarro L. 🟨,
54', 2 - 1, Ponce C. ⚽,
55', Valenzuela C. ↓, Luna J. ↑,
55', Flores I. ↓, Silva C. ↑,
71', 🟨,
72', Lara I. 🟨,
75', Gonzalez C. ↓, Arguinarena M. ↑,
75', Herrera A. ↓, Villarroel C. ↑,
75', Silva J. ↓, Vargas V. ↑,
86', Alvarez G. ↓, Carvajal N. ↑,
86', Sanchez P. ↓, Riveros R. ↑,
90+1', Ponce C. 🟥,
90+1', Estigarribia G. 🟨,
90+4', Camarda M. 🟨,
90+9', Estigarribia G. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
90+9', Viveros D. ↓, Cepeda C. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 2.
Recoleta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Santiago Wanderers has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Recoleta won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
Watch
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Salazar A. (G) 
Estigarribia G. (C) 
Felipe S. 
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