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Current Win Probability
Santiago Wanderers 20.4%
Draw 24.8%
Universidad de Chile 54.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.4%
26.4%
51.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.7%
25.6%
52.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santiago Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (-2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Santiago Wanderers - Universidad de Chile Predictions
Users Predictions:
Universidad de Chile will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Terrazas F. (G) 5. Navarro L. (C) 27. Vera V. 18. Felipe S. 8. Silva J. 24. Dubo A. 15. Villarroel M. 38. Portilla D. 31. Valenzuela C. 9. Camarda M. 37. San Martin D.
25. Castellon G. (G) 31. Tamayo B. 5. Ramirez N. (C) 6. Fernandez N. 17. Hormazabal F. 16. Rojas E. 29. Barrera L. 23. Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. 7. Guerrero Pena M. G. 18. Lucero J. 28. Arce A.
Substitutes
20. Avendano L. 23. Flores I. 7. Herrera A. 22. Javier Parraguez 10. Luna J. 36. Martinez B. (G) 29. Silva C. 32. Vargas V. 19. Villarroel C.
19. Altamirano J. 27. Bolano A. 21. Diaz M. 36. Fernandez F. 8. Poblete Zuniga I. E. 34. Ramirez V. 26. Riquelme M. 30. Saez I. (G) 4. Vargas D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Guerrero Pena M. G. ⚽, Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. (A),
21', Camarda M. 🟨,
25', Felipe S. 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Camarda M. ⚽, Navarro L. (A),
38', Tamayo B. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 2, Guerrero Pena M. G. ⚽, Tamayo B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lucero J. ↓, Altamirano J. ↑,
54', 1 - 3, Altamirano J. ⚽, Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. (A),
56', San Martin D. ↓, Vargas V. ↑,
64', Vera V. 🟨,
65', Portilla D. ↓, Avendano L. ↑,
65', Vera V. ↓, Flores I. ↑,
66', Hormazabal F. ↓, Poblete Zuniga I. E. ↑,
66', Ramirez N. ↓, Vargas D. ↑,
69', Silva J. 🟨,
73', 2 - 3, Camarda M. ⚽, Dubo A. (A),
74', Silva J. ↓, Luna J. ↑,
74', Camarda M. ↓, Javier Parraguez ↑,
75', Navarro L. 🟨,
77', Rojas E. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
82', Arce A. ↓, Fernandez F. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 1.
Santiago Wanderers is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Universidad de Chile is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Santiago Wanderers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Santiago Wanderers has had a series of away games.
Recently, Universidad de Chile has had a series of home games.
In this match, Universidad de Chile is a strong favorite.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Santiago Wanderers won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:33. (average 1.5:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Santiago Wanderers won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 2:1.6).
Chile
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Terrazas F. (G) 
Navarro L. (C) 
Felipe S. 
Tamayo B. 
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