Match Info

Date: 10 July 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Vila Belmiro (Santos)

Referee: Machado B. (Bra)


	Santos		Atlético Goianiense

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	4.33	Watch
	1.93	3.3	4.2
	1.85	3.2	4.5
	1.94	3.2	3.95
	1.95	3.33	4.48
	2	3.2	3.8
	1.92	3.45	4.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.95)	3.28 ↑ (3.27)	4.21 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
48.9%

Draw
28.7%

Atlético Goianiense
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

28.7%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

28.2%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	21.4%	14.3%

Santos - Atlético Goianiense Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 27 - 64.3%). Atlético GO will win (votes: 6 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santos: 49.8% – 78.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Santos has the most likely position - 8 (8.33%), has project points - 53, has currently - 19, has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santos won 1.

Santos is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Atlético GO is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético GO could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Santos is a favorite.

There will not play in Santos: Madson (Injury)

There will not play in Atlético GO: Dudu (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Santos won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Santos won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos FC
Copa Sudamericana
06.07.22	Santos - Deportivo Táchira	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie A
02.07.22	Santos - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.06.22	Deportivo Táchira - Santos	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
25.06.22	Corinthians - Santos	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.06.22	Corinthians - Santos	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTTL
- Atlético Goianiense
Copa Sudamericana
07.07.22	Atlético Goianiense - Olimpia Asuncion	3:0 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie A
03.07.22	Atlético Goianiense - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.06.22	Olimpia Asuncion - Atlético Goianiense	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
26.06.22	Ceará - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.06.22	Atlético Goianiense - Goiás	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
13.11.21	Atlético Goianiense - Santos	0:0
25.07.21	Santos - Atlético Goianiense	0:1
06.02.21	Atlético Goianiense - Santos	1:1
14.10.20	Santos - Atlético Goianiense	0:1
Copa do Brasil
11.04.19	Santos - Atlético Goianiense	3:0
04.04.19	Atlético Goianiense - Santos	1:0
Brazilian Serie A
22.10.17	Santos - Atlético Goianiense	1:0

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