Match Info

Date: 29 June 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo (San Cristóbal)

Referee: Vargas G. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Deportivo Táchira		Santos

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.5	Watch
	2.95	3	2.5
	3	3.05	2.38
	2.95	2.95	2.49
	3.09	3.11	2.58
	2.88	3	2.4
	2.95	3.24	2.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.54)	3.05 ↓ (3.2)	2.47 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS Xtra

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Táchira
31.5%

Draw
30.7%

Santos
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

29%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

31.1%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Táchira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Táchira's performance.

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Táchira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.4%	34.3%	54.3%

Deportivo Táchira - Santos Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Deportivo Táchira will win (votes: 4 - 11.4%). Santos will win (votes: 19 - 54.3%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 34.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santos: 37.8% – 70.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Deportivo Táchira could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Santos have a series of guest games.

Santos will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Táchira
Venezuelan Primera Division
18.06.22	Monagas - Deportivo Táchira	3:0 ✺
09.06.22	Deportivo Táchira - Aragua	2:0 ✺
05.06.22	Aragua - Deportivo Táchira	1:0 ✺
28.05.22	Deportivo Táchira - Monagas	4:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.05.22	Palmeiras - Deportivo Táchira	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWL
- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie A
25.06.22	Corinthians - Santos	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.06.22	Corinthians - Santos	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
18.06.22	Santos - Red Bull Bragantino	2:2 ✺
14.06.22	Juventude - Santos	1:2 ✺
11.06.22	Atlético Mineiro - Santos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 TLTWT

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