The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santos 22.7%
Draw 25.5%
Flamengo 51.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.5%
25.6%
51.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.9%
24.9%
53.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Santos - Flamengo Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
A mid-table host welcomes the league leaders in an exciting contest (ranked 8th in the Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 1st in the Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 2.
Santos has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Flamengo is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Flamengo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Flamengo carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Santos has recorded 7 wins, 1 draw, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:36 (averaging 1.4:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Santos against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 16:15 goals (averaging 1.8:1.7 per game).
Outrights of Brazilian Serie A for now
Flamengo RJ: 62.82% Santos: 0.32%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Flamengo RJ
28
18
6
4
55:23
32
60
8
Santos
28
11
8
9
43:41
2
41
Last Results with these Odds
Santos - the odds 4.16 are the expected chance of winning is 22.52%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Flamengo - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.86%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.