Match Info

Date: 7 September 2021, Tuesday


	Santos		Atlético Grau

	1	X	2
	6	3.6	1.49
	6.1	3.7	1.44
	5.8	4.2	1.39
	6.92	4.14	1.45
	6.5	4.2	1.4
	7.1	4.25	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.4 ↑ (3.3)	4.02 ↑ (2.78)	1.43 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
14.1%

Draw
22.6%

Atlético Grau
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

32.6%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

23.9%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santos's form might have worsened.

Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Grau's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Grau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.5%	23.1%	65.4%

Santos - Atlético Grau Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). Grau will win (votes: 17 - 65.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grau: 47.1% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 and 2).

Santos is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grau is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Grau is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Santos won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Santos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos de Nasca
Peruvian Liga 2
01.09.21	Comerciantes Unidos - Santos	2:1 ✺
26.08.21	Santos - Pirata	2:0 ✺
20.08.21	Juan Aurich - Santos	2:2 ✺
13.08.21	Santos - Deportivo Coopsol	1:4 ✺
09.08.21	Chavelines Juniors - Santos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWTLL
- Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 2
01.09.21	Atlético Grau - Unión Comercio	2:1 ✺
26.08.21	Atlético Grau - Comerciantes Unidos	4:0 ✺
20.08.21	Pirata - Atlético Grau	1:6 ✺
13.08.21	Atlético Grau - Juan Aurich	1:3 ✺
10.08.21	Deportivo Coopsol - Atlético Grau	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
08.07.21	Atlético Grau - Santos	4:1
08.09.19	Atlético Grau - Santos	1:1
26.05.19	Santos - Atlético Grau	2:0

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