Match Info

Date: 11 May 2021, Tuesday


	Santos		Boca Juniors

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2.25	Watch
	3.1	3	2.4
	3.15	3.05	2.3	Watch
	3.2	3	2.3
	3.43	3.04	2.36
	3.4	3	2.3	Watch
	3.58	3.13	2.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (3.18)	3.03 ↓ (3.04)	2.34 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
28.4%

Draw
31.2%

Boca Juniors
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

30.9%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

22.6%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boca Juniors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santos - Boca Juniors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Santos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Boca Juniors will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Santos won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Santos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
09.05.21	Santos - São Bento	2:0 ✺
06.05.21	Palmeiras - Santos	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.05.21	Santos - The Strongest	5:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
01.05.21	Red Bull Bragantino - Santos	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.04.21	Boca Juniors - Santos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWTL
- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
08.05.21	Patronato Parana - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.05.21	Barcelona Guayaquil - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
02.05.21	Boca Juniors - Lanús	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.04.21	Boca Juniors - Santos	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
24.04.21	Huracán Buenos Aires - Boca Juniors	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
27.04.21	Boca Juniors - Santos	2:0
13.01.21	Santos - Boca Juniors	3:0
06.01.21	Boca Juniors - Santos	0:0

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