Match Info

Date: 26 October 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio San Juan del Bicentenario (San Juan)

Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)


	Patronato Parana		Boca Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.95	2.25
	3.05	3.1	2.33
	2.95	3	2.34
	3.18	3.22	2.45
	3.1	2.9	2.3
	3.28	2.97	2.39	Watch
	3	3.1	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (4.27)	3.03 ↓ (3.29)	2.35 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patronato Parana
30.2%

Draw
30.5%

Boca Juniors
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

27.7%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

27.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Patronato Parana's performance.

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boca Juniors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Patronato Parana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boca Juniors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	13.3%	53.3%

Patronato Parana - Boca Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Neutral location - Estadio San Juan del Bicentenario.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Patronato won 2.

Recent matches Patronato is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Boca Juniors is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Boca Juniors could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Patronato won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Patronato won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.10.22	Patronato Parana - Huracán Buenos Aires	3:2 ✺
16.10.22	Godoy Cruz - Patronato Parana	0:1 ✺
13.10.22	Lanús - Patronato Parana	0:1 ✺
09.10.22	Patronato Parana - River Plate	0:1 ✺
05.10.22	Colón - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WWWLL
- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.10.22	Boca Juniors - Independiente	2:2 ✺
20.10.22	Gimnasia La Plata - Boca Juniors	1:2 ✺
16.10.22	Newells Old Boys - Boca Juniors	2:0 ✺
12.10.22	Sarmiento de Junín - Boca Juniors	0:1 ✺
09.10.22	Boca Juniors - Aldosivi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
31.07.22	Patronato Parana - Boca Juniors	3:0
Copa Argentina
22.09.21	Boca Juniors - Patronato Parana	1:0 penalties
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.08.21	Boca Juniors - Patronato Parana	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
08.05.21	Patronato Parana - Boca Juniors	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.08.19	Patronato Parana - Boca Juniors	0:2
17.11.18	Boca Juniors - Patronato Parana	1:0
15.10.17	Patronato Parana - Boca Juniors	0:2

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