Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 13

Date: 2 July 2023, Sunday


	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno		Santos

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.5	4.75
	1.6	3.6	4.4
	1.51	3.55	4.6
	1.67	3.4	4.33
	1.59	3.78	5.2
	1.61	3.55	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.55)	3.56 ↑ (3.4)	4.68 ↓ (6.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
55.9%

Draw
25.1%

Santos
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

26.9%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

26.9%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfonso Ugarte de Puno than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Castellanos G. (C) 59. Ayovi W. 28. Cotrina J. 11. Cuero J. 16. Davila C. 30. Gutierrez A. 8. Lara F. 10. Quiroz A. 32. Suclupe M. 2. Talavera I. 13. Vernal G.	22. Roman C. (G) 29. Aragon F. 2. Cardoza L. (C) 9. Castillo Riascos H. F. 14. Coavoy E. 5. Collante G. 17. Gomez Zevallos F. L. 11. Herrera J. 77. Mayo J. 6. Navarro J. 19. Ormeno B.
Substitutes
7. Aguirre L. 25. Caceres R. (G) 96. Lopez E. 27. Paladines B. 77. Palomino K. 20. Paye E. 19. Timana H.	21. Araujo Anticona I. A. (G) 18. Bautista P. 10. Escobar M. 25. Gutierrez A. 31. Kuncho 3. Quispe J. 7. Ramirez D.

Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Alfonso Ugarte is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santos is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Alfonso Ugarte is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alfonso Ugarte won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Alfonso Ugarte won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
Peruvian Liga 2
28.06.23	Juan Aurich - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	0:0 ✺
20.06.23	Ayacucho - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	2:2 ✺
14.06.23	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Carlos Stein	5:1 ✺
08.06.23	Universidad San Martín - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	2:1 ✺
31.05.23	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Pirata	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTWLW
- Santos de Nasca
Peruvian Liga 2
26.06.23	Santos - Ayacucho	4:1 ✺
21.06.23	Carlos Stein - Santos	1:3 ✺
13.06.23	Santos - Universidad San Martín	2:1 ✺
07.06.23	Pirata - Santos	0:0 ✺
30.05.23	Santos - Unión Huaral	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
28.08.22	Santos - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	1:0
29.05.22	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Santos	1:1

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