The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cruz Azul 51.4%
Draw 25.4%
Juárez 23.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.3%
28.5%
31.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.2%
27.2%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cruz Azul's performance.
Juárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juárez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cruz Azul that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juárez than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juárez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cruz Azul - Juárez Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Juárez (3.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.5 - Juárez (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Juárez (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Godinez A. (G) 7. Angeles L. 14. Blackwood D. 33. Chavarin A. 23. Gutierrez I. 10. Lemos S. 9. Martinez A. 2. Miranda V. 3. Robe L. 4. Rodriguez Perez Y. 19. Valdez V. (C)
28. Alvarado E. (G) 20. Abud K. 17. Asantewaa G. 13. Gonzalez E. 3. Granados N. 5. Lopez Y. 9. Lunyamila E. 8. Mercado L. (C) 6. Perez A. 14. Rodriguez M. 19. Singano J.
Substitutes
13. Calderon D. 28. Garcia A. 15. Grimaldo N. 5. Gutierrez D. 17. Kirsch-Downs C. 8. Lomeli A. 16. Martinez L. 21. Martinez R. 11. Mendoza D. 1. Villeda M. (G)
29. Arreola A. 25. Diallo H. 7. Duarte N. 24. Duron D. 16. Espinoza G. 12. Holguin C. (G) 22. Mora Bianca 23. Solis B. 10. Zuazua M.
Coaches
Testas D.
Fernandez Novillo O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Gonzalez E. ↓, Zuazua M. ↑,
40', Granados N. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Lunyamila E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Granados N. ↓, Mora Bianca ↑,
59', Rodriguez Perez Y. ↓, Lomeli A. ↑,
59', Martinez A. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
67', Garcia A. 🟨,
67', Perez A. 🟨,
71', Lunyamila E. ↓, Espinoza G. ↑,
72', Mora Bianca 🟨,
74', Valdez V. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
82', Lemos S. ↓, Calderon D. ↑,
82', Asantewaa G. ↓, Duarte N. ↑,
90+4', Rodriguez M. ↓, Diallo H. ↑,
90+4', Zuazua M. ↓, Duron D. ↑,
90+6', Blackwood D. 🟨,
90+8', 0 - 2, Diallo H. ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 1.
Cruz Azul is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Juárez has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Cruz Azul may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Cruz Azul is a strong favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.6:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 2.2:0.8).
Mexico
South-america
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Godinez A. (G) 
Blackwood D. 
Chavarin A. 
Lemos S. 
Martinez A. 
Robe L. 
Asantewaa G. 
Lopez Y. 
Lunyamila E. 
Gutierrez D. 
Diallo H. 
Fernandez Novillo O. 
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