Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 19

Date: 1 July 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Santos U20		São Paulo U20

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.50	3.60
	1.85	3.4	3.55
	1.91	3.68	3.78
	1.85	3.62	3.68	Watch
	1.89	3.45	3.85
	2.01	3.51	3.35
	1.85	3.4	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.71)	3.51 ↓ (3.61)	3.61 ↓ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos U20
48.6%

Draw
26.1%

São Paulo U20
25.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.3%

25.2%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

24.8%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

São Paulo U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos U20 than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santos U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo U20 than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Santos U20 - São Paulo U20 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Santos U20 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Santos U20 will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Lucyan ⚽,
16', 0 - 2, Kauan N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

Santos U20 is Qualified for Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos U20 won 3.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Santos U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Santos U20 is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Santos U20 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 2.3:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Santos U20 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1.5:2.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Santos U20 - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 53.32%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
28.06.26	Santos U20 - Corinthians U20	0:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
23.06.26	Vitória U20 - Santos U20	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Santos U20 - Bahia U20	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	América MG U20 - Santos U20	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
12.06.26	Santos U20 - Jabaquara U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWLWW
- São Paulo U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
28.06.26	São Caetano U20 - São Paulo U20	0:2 ✺
Brasileiro U20
23.06.26	São Paulo U20 - Fortaleza U20	1:0 ✺
20.06.26	São Paulo U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	1:1 ✺
17.06.26	Juventude U20 - São Paulo U20	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
13.06.26	São Paulo U20 - CA Bandeirante U20	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
16.11.25	São Paulo U20 - Santos U20	3:4 penalties
09.11.25	Santos U20 - São Paulo U20	1:1
Brasileiro U20
27.03.25	São Paulo U20 - Santos U20	2:4
18.06.24	São Paulo U20 - Santos U20	4:3
06.03.23	Santos U20 - São Paulo U20	3:2
28.07.21	Santos U20 - São Paulo U20	1:3
22.11.20	Santos U20 - São Paulo U20	1:5

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